According to the latest market data on May 3, 2025 (current price $1,834.35, BOLL middle band 1,838.55, upper band 1,845.44/lower band 1,831.66, combined with MACD and market sentiment, the following 1-hour precise strategy is formulated.

Core Strategies & Points
1. BOLL mid-track breakthrough try more
- Entry conditions: Price stabilizes at $1,838.55 (BOLL middle band), 1-hour closing price confirms the breakout, and MACD histogram turns red (DIF crosses above DEA).
- Target: Short-term outlook towards $1,845-$1,857 (BOLL upper band + previous high resistance), with a breakthrough looking towards $1,872.
- Stop Loss: Dynamically moved down to below $1,831.66 (BOLL lower band), risk ≤2%.
2. Buy on the rebound supported by the lower band
- Entry Conditions: Price drops to stabilize within the range of 1,830-1,831.66 USD (BOLL lower band + MACD bearish divergence), combined with RSI < 30 or increased trading volume.
- Target: Bounce back to $1,838-$1,845, take partial profits after breaking the middle band.
- Stop Loss: Set strictly below $1,825 to mitigate breakout risk.
3. Upper band suppression short selling
- Entry conditions: Price rebounds to $1,845-$1,857 faces resistance (BOLL upper band + previous high suppression), a 1-hour KDJ death cross or long upper shadow appears.
- Target: Pull back to $1,831-1,838*l (middle band support), break down to see $1,808 (daily EMA60).
- Stop Loss: Set above $1,860 to avoid false breakouts.
Key signals and
- MACD Momentum: The current DIF(-1.66) is merging with DEA(-1.37). If the histogram turns red, it indicates a short-term strength, otherwise, it may break below the lower band or accelerate downward.
- Long and short distribution: The long position accounts for 56.61%, but the short position accounts for 43.39%, indicating divergence, and caution is needed against the main force's inducement to go long.
- Volume verification: If the trading volume is below 100 million USDT when breaking through the middle band, be cautious when chasing the rise; if it breaks down with increased volume below $1,830, follow the trend and short.
Position and Discipline
- Total position: ≤40%, single leverage≤2 times (reduced leverage in high volatility).
- Stop-loss discipline: Exit immediately if it falls below $1,825 or if the MACD bars continue to expand in negative values.
- Replenishment Plan: If the price suddenly drops below $1,808 (support from the daily EMA60), 15% of funds can be reserved for phased entry.
Summary
ETH is currently in a narrow range ($1,831-1,845) within the BOLL channel, and the channel strategy is dominant during the day. Break through the middle rail light position to try long, touch the upper rail backhand test short. Pay attention to the direction of the MACD bar and the amount of energy, strictly stop loss, and avoid blindly opening positions in the adhesive range. #BTC# #PI# #ETH# #美联储5月利率预测# #五月行情预测#