#美联储货币政策# After looking at the latest CME data, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is as high as 84.6%. This signal is indeed worth noting. However, I still tend to be cautious, as there often exists a deviation between market expectations and actual policies. Next, I will closely follow the changes in the positions of several top traders in interest rate-sensitive assets and adjust my copy trading strategy accordingly based on their operations. Currently, my capital allocation remains relatively balanced; I will neither bet aggressively on a rate cut nor completely ignore this possibility. Experience tells me that maintaining flexibility at such critical moments is key.