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What exactly is trading doing? Why do so many smart and hardworking people in the market ultimately end up joining that frustrating 95% loss club? Follow to avoid getting lost!


Isn't it true that many people think trading is all about predicting the future from the very beginning, working hard to learn various technical indicators, and analyzing candlestick patterns to find that crystal ball that can accurately predict the rise and fall of candlesticks? Have you ever been obsessed with finding the holy grail signal that guarantees buying will lead to an increase and selling will lead to a decrease?
But the result is often that the more you try to predict the market, the more it goes against you, leading to greater losses. This indicates that we may have a fundamental misunderstanding of the essence of trading.
The first misconception to break is that trading is not a game of guessing price rises and falls. The market is a random walk in the short term, and no one can consistently predict where the price will be in the next minute or the next hour.
If you put all your energy into predicting accuracy, then you've gone off track from the very beginning. What is a typical mindset for prediction? Right, feeling smug when you're right, and blaming the heavens when you're wrong.
Or hurry to find the next more accurate indicator. The emotions that follow the win or loss of a single trade ride a roller coaster, making it impossible to remain rational. So what is the first core truth of trading?
The essence of trading is primarily risk management, not predicting the future. Your primary task is not to guess the direction correctly, but to think. If I am wrong, how much can I lose at most, and can I bear this loss? The second core truth is that trading is a game based on probability and statistics, not a one-time showdown of win or lose.
Just like a casino, the owner doesn’t care whether a particular player wins or loses. What matters to him is that as long as the rules are in his favor, there are enough players, and it lasts long enough, he will definitely make a profit in the end. Traders are the same; you need to find your own edge in probability and then stick with it for the long term.
The third truth is that trading ultimately comes down to psychological control, which is just as important as technical analysis. Why? Because even if you have good rules, if your mindset is unbalanced, you simply cannot stick to execution; fear will make you take profits too early, greed will prevent you from cutting losses, and anxiety will lead to erratic trading.
So you see, once you understand these three truths, you need to complete a paradigm shift from being a fortune teller trying to predict the future to becoming a probability player and risk manager who manages risks and executes rules. This is why our 007 community repeatedly emphasizes that the system is greater than the skill.
Because a complete trading system is precisely the carrier of these three great truths. It can help you solidify risk management rules, define your probabilistic advantages, provide clear execution basis, and combat psychological interference.
Imagine that in the same market volatility, a predictor might collapse mentally and suffer heavy losses due to one wrong guess. In contrast, a probability manager strictly adheres to the system; even if there are a few small losses, as long as they seize the high-probability opportunities that align with the system, they can achieve stable profits greater than windfall over the long term. The secret to trading profits lies not in prediction but in management, understanding, and accepting risk probabilities and mindset. #WCTC S7 报名开启# #SOL 质押市值超越 ETH# #BTC 能否突破90k?#
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The content is for reference only, not a solicitation or offer. No investment, tax, or legal advice provided. See Disclaimer for more risks disclosure.
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