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5. How Do ETF Leveraged Tokens Differ from Spot, Margin, and Futures Trading?

5. How Do ETF Leveraged Tokens Differ from Spot, Margin, and Futures Trading?

Atualizado em 04 16, 2025
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  • Spot Trading: Users buy and sell cryptocurrencies using fiat or stablecoins (e.g., USDT) and immediately receive ownership of the asset.
  • Margin Trading: Users borrow funds to amplify their position size, increasing both potential gains and losses. Leverage is determined by the borrowed amount relative to the user’s collateral.
  • Futures Trading: Users trade derivative contracts with leverage, which dynamically adjusts based on position value. High leverage increases the risk of liquidation if the margin is insufficient.
  • ETF Leveraged Tokens: These tokens have built-in leverage, amplifying asset price movements without requiring margin or borrowing. Users can trade them like spot assets without worrying about liquidation.
    ETF

Characteristics Comparison: Spot, ETF Leveraged Tokens, and Futures Contracts

Characteristic Spot ETF Leveraged Tokens Futures Contracts
Margin Requirement No margin required No margin required Margin required
Leverage None Fixed leverage High leverage, no fixed range
Liquidation Risk None None Exists
Trading Method Buy and sell Buy and sell Long and short positions
Operational Complexity Simple Simple Complex
Investment Scenario Bullish market (long) Trending markets (long & short) Volatile markets
Suitable Holding Period Long-term holding Short-term trading Short-term trading
Source of Returns Price appreciation Price fluctuations Price fluctuations
Risk Appetite Low Medium High

ETF

Performance Comparison: Spot, Futures, and ETF Leveraged Tokens in Different Market Conditions

ETF leveraged tokens perform better in trending markets but may experience decay in volatile or choppy markets . Let’s compare their performance using BTC3L (3x long BTC ETF) under different market conditions. Assume the BTC price starts at $200

One-sided market: one way up

If BTC rises from $200 to $220 over two days:

Below is how the profit is calculated:
On the first day, the price for one BTC rises from $200 to $210, the fluctuation rate is +5%.
The NAV of BTC3L becomes $200(1+5%× 3)=$230;
On the second day, the price for one BTC rises from $210 to $220, the fluctuation rate is +4.76%. The NAV of BTC3L becomes $230× (1+4.76%× 3)=$262.84;

In conclusion, the fluctuation rate in these 2 days is ($262.84 - $200)/$200×100% = 31.4%, which is greater than 30%.

Day BTC Price Spot BTC Return BTC3L NAV (ETF 3x) BTC3L Return 3×BTC Futures Return
0 $200 0% $200 0% 0%
1 $210 (+5%) 5% $200(1+5%× 3)=$230 15% 15%
2 $220 (+4.76%) 10% $230× (1+4.76%× 3)=$262.84 31.40% 30%
  • ETF leveraged tokens outperform futures contracts in trending markets due to compounding.

One-sided market: one way down

If BTC drops from $200 to $180 over two days:

Below is how the loss is calculated:
The price of BTC falls by 5% on the first day. The NAV of BTC3L becomes: $200 (1-5%×3)=$170;
The price falls again on the second day and the fluctuation rate is -5.26%.
The NAV of BTC3L becomes $170 (1-5.26%×3)=$143.17;

The overall fluctuation rate in these 2 days is ($143.17 - $200)/ $200×100%= -28.4%, which is greater than -30%.

Day BTC Price Spot BTC Return BTC3L NAV (ETF 3x) BTC3L Return 3×BTC Futures Return
0 $200 0% $200 0% 0%
1 $190 (-5%) -5% $200 (1-5%×3)=$170 -15% -15%
2 $180 (-5.26%) -10% $170 (1-5.26%×3)=$143.17 -28.40% -30%
  • ETF leveraged tokens lose slightly less than futures contracts in downtrends due to rebalancing, reducing the impact of compounding losses.

Choppy Market: Price Increase Followed by a Decrease

If BTC rises to $210 but then falls back to $200 :

On the first day, the price for one BTC rises from $200 to $210, the fluctuation rate is +5%.

The NAV of BTC3L becomes $200(1+5%× 3)=$230;
On the second day, the price falls from $210 back to $200, the fluctuation rate is -4.76%.

The NAV of BTC3L becomes $230(1-4.76%× 3)=$197.16; The overall fluctuation rate in these 2 days is ($197.16 - $200)/ $200× 100%=-1.42%, which is less than 0%.

Day BTC Price Spot BTC Return BTC3L NAV (ETF 3x) BTC3L Return 3×BTC Futures Return
0 $200 0% $200 0% 0%
1 $210 (+5%) 5% $200(1+5%× 3)=$230 15% 15%
2 $200 (-4.76%) 0% $230(1-4.76%× 3)=$197.16 -1.42% 0%
  • ETF leveraged tokens suffer from volatility decay, causing losses even when the price returns to the original level.

Choppy Market: Price Decrease Followed by an Increase

If BTC drops to $190 and then rebounds to $200 :
On the first day, the price of BTC falls by 5%.
The NAV of BTC3L becomes $200 (1-5%×3)=$170;
On the second day, the price rises back from $190 to $200. The fluctuation rate is +5.26%.
The NAV of BTC3L becomes $170 (1+5.26%× 3)=$196.83;

The overall fluctuation rate in these 2 days is ($196.83- $200)/ $200× 100%=-1.59%, which is less than 0%.

Day BTC Price Spot BTC Return BTC3L NAV (ETF 3x) BTC3L Return 3×BTC Futures Return
0 $200 0% $200 0% 0%
1 $190 (-5%) -5% $200 (1-5%×3)=$170 -15% -15%
2 $200 (+5.26%) 0% $170 (1+5.26%× 3)=$196.83 -1.59% 0%
  • ETF leveraged tokens lose value in sideways markets due to compounding effects and rebalancing.

Key Takeaways

  1. ETF leveraged tokens perform well in one-sided markets due to compounding, often outperforming standard futures.
  2. In volatile or sideways markets, ETF leveraged tokens experience decay , leading to underperformance.
  3. ETF leveraged tokens are suitable for short-term trading but not for long-term holding due to rebalancing effects.

Conclusion

ETF leveraged tokens are best suited for short-term trading and trending markets but not for long-term holding due to compounding and rebalancing effects. Investors should fully understand the risks before trading.

Risk Warning:
ETF leveraged tokens are high-risk financial derivatives. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Users should carefully evaluate the product before trading and manage risk appropriately.

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